Say goodbye to cheap Chinese goods price of water, electricity and other resources to change the countdown.
Prices of resource products in the market-oriented has been criticized is not high, the current trigger price mechanism undervalued resources, resource utilization rate. May, the State Council approved the Development and Reform Commission issued "on the 2009 comments on the work to deepen economic reform", glue stick with particular reference to vigorously promote the prices of resource products and energy saving system, and clearly the responsibility of the relevant departments.
With the reform and further put on the agenda of decision-making, in the second half, adjust the cycle time is coming,glue gun water, electricity and other resource commodity prices should be adjusted.
Power: large straight bidding and purchase.
Tariff reform is a systematic project, this year, the policy level, the release of a number of reforms continuous signal. March 5, Premier Wen Jiabao in his government work report, said: "2009 will continue to deepen the price reform and gradually improve the electricity price, electricity transmission and distribution and sale of electricity price formation mechanism, straighten out the coal price relationships in due course. "May 19 release of" views ", it is more explicitly recognized the direct purchase of electricity, including large bilateral trade, including the pilot and the bidding price reform and other means. Surface of positive action policies, making us believe in the second half, price reform will have a substantial advance.
Currently, the price reform is focused on the big auction on the direct purchase of electricity and the Internet.
First, direct purchase of electricity to large view, its practical significance is to promote the formation of a reasonable price mechanism, which is of decisive significance tariff reform start.
China University of Political Science Professor Liu Jipeng In an interview with the "Investor News" interview, says that "the Government should promote the" buy point of Direct Administration of Rules ", the sooner the better, because the electricity reform can not wait. As soon as possible a large user and electrical manufacturers to meet directly over the net power companies only charge the fee, it will be meaningful reform of the power step. "
Followed by the implementation of bidding for the long term, which will help power companies together to compete for more pricing power. Professor Liu Jipeng that the bidding can also be synchronized with the implementation of large direct purchase of electricity, "State Power Corporation was established in 1998 since there had been two separate pilot plant network, the results are not successful. The reason is that the old bid and the National Development and Reform Commission Sometimes there are conflicts between the system, but eventually the old system prevailed Development and Reform Commission. "synchronize the second half of the implementation of competitive bidding and direct purchase large, in line with market requirements, the high hopes.
Of course, to the smooth implementation of these reform measures, supporting the adjustments have to keep up. For example, April 1, 1996 since the implementation of the "Electricity Law" provisions of Article Five, "a power supply operating area only to establish a business establishment", to implement large direct purchase of electricity, you must first amendment has been implemented more than 13 years, the "Electricity Law", otherwise it will conflict with each other.
Natural gas: prices rose 0.4 yuan space.
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences published the "2008 Energy Blue Book" is expected in 2010 and 2015, China's natural gas consumption will reach 150 billion cubic meters and 2,400 billion cubic meters; 2010, China's natural gas supply and demand gap of 300 billion to 400 billion cubic meters 2015 gap of 50 billion to 600 billion cubic meters, the gap in 2020 will reach 900 billion cubic meters.
Tight supply situation, domestic gas still in the low phase, many factors have contributed to the second half of the price adjustment.
First, the main Turkmen natural gas in the Second West-East gas source, ventilation will be completed by the end of this year, which is China's first large-scale introduction of foreign natural gas pipeline project, the completion of this project, domestic and international gas prices will initially standards, Chinese-style low-cost to be adjusted.
Second, in May of this year, the NDRC issued a "management of oil prices", making our oil prices and international crude oil prices into line with controlled indirectly, to accomplish this reform, the next focus of reform is the international price of natural gas standards reform, which is the trend.
Investment securities in the petrochemical industry researcher Rui Dingkun that "from the gas companies make up the cost point of view, there is the terminal price of 0.2 yuan / m3 of the price adjustment of space, and if taking into account the 2007 adjustment of fertilizers and industrial gases 0.4 yuan / m3, while the civilian factors have not been adjusted, civil air terminal price of 0.4 yuan to increase space there. "
Water: the highest price adjustments of not more than 10%.
We usually refer to the price of water, including three parts: the water resource fee, water fee and water treatment costs.
To changes in the price of water is concerned, there is a large price cycles and small cycle said. Under normal circumstances, a small period of 3 years or so, a large period of 5 years. At present, the price of water, basically running the standard 2004, has been 5 years, a large price adjustment period has arrived, the market price on the requirements of the voices raised higher and higher.
At present, the valuation of water, there are three main ways, first is the internationally accepted water spending accounts for 2% of disposable income measure. If calculated in accordance with this standard, nearly double the price upside. The second is government pricing standards: to ensure that corporate profits, ecological water requirements of the profit and non-agricultural water is not less than the annual interest rate of commercial banks, urban water supply is on this basis, but also to ensure the company's return on net assets of not less than 8%. In light of this pricing, the price of water and 55% upside. The third is to make up for losses of water prices pricing, according to this pricing will have a 10% price increase space. Overall, the current price of water to achieve a reasonable valuation range, at least at 10% based on the increase.
Zhang Kai, an analyst at National Securities water industry to accept the "Investor News" interview, said: "The second half of the water price will certainly be adjusted, although the price of water measured by a variety of ways, are at least 10% upside, but considering the the nature of public supplies of water resources, will not step in the adjustment in place. "
Since 1999, the average annual price growth rate of 5.5%, given the current situation, the second half of the price adjustment will be higher than the average growth rate of the past. Zhang Kai, that the "tone at the price of water about 10% of the sewage treatment fee because the smaller base, increased space for larger, probably around 11% at the tone, while the second half of this year may be expected to be higher than 5.5% while the price of water low 10%. "